This past weekend was a perfect example of what happens when two separate storms fail to phase. The result is two rounds of snow showers and that's it.
This Wednesday-Thursday is starting to look much more interesting in the last few model runs. There are still some crucial differences - particularly with storm track. The GFS is currently the outlier showing a storm that phases too late and ends up out to sea, barely brushing the area.
The Euro and other models show a storm moving up the coast - maybe too close (which would draw warmer air from the Atlantic and give us precipitation type issues). But trends in the models seem to be pointing towards a colder solution and more snow.
This could be the big one of the winter but it's still too early to tell. Once I've had more time to look at the guidance, I'll post my thoughts but, for now, keep an eye on this time period.
No comments:
Post a Comment