Here's the NAM from the 18Z run (earlier maps were from the 12Z run). Usually the 18Z models are taken with a grain of salt and usually just used to identify trends in the forecast or inconsistencies.
The NAM is pretty consistent with its slower, stronger philosophy although this low position is about the same but the precipitation shield is further west than that of the 12Z run at the same forecast time.
Here we see the phase occurring and some light to moderate snowfall over our area at about 1 AM on Wednesday.
No change to forecast at this point. No significant model trends to suggest that the forecast is off track.
WINTER STORM WARNING
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January
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- Snow Totals Currently From 2-6 Inches Around the A...
- More Data Coming In - Just Keeps Getting Better
- Major Band of Activity Headed Into DC Area
- Current Radar
- Models Continue to Show More Snow
- 12Z Models Coming In
- Forecast Pretty Much on Track - Rain Coming, Then ...
- 2 PM Satellite Shot (GOES-13)
- WSW Extended to all Metro, Atmospheric Profiles Su...
- GFS Total Precipitation
- Things Get MUCH More Interesting
- Things Get More Interesting
- It's Been One of Those Winters
- By The Way
- Quick Update
- Storm Watch: Thursday Night - Friday
- 18Z NAM Confirms Eastward Shift, Less Snow
- Point to the Dryslot
- Stupid Dryslot
- 18Z NAM Precipitation
- 18Z NAM
- At This Point, a Light Event
- Complex Pattern for Monday Night Through Tuesday
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