You can't use the evening model runs alone to make a forecast but they can support a trend. And the trend is snow for the weekend.
Apparently, the National Weather Service is coming around to the idea as well. At 6 PM, they revised the forecast for our area to include a 50% chance of snow for Saturday night and Sunday.
So...game on. I'll be checking out the late-night runs tonight. Still 48 hours or so from the event - plenty of time for things to change for better or worse.
Early call would be: a decent chance of a "significant" winter storm Saturday night into Sunday. Storm track makes all the difference, as usual. Temperatures should easily support snow.
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