This has been one of the most difficult storms to forecast that I can remember. As meteorologists, I think this serves as a reminder that even in this age of advanced technology: powerful computers, advanced radar - the atmospheric system is incredibly complex. Sometimes these kinds of weather patterns are going to occur and there isn't a hell of a lot we can do but make a good guess.
Forecasts are still all over the place but just as I was typing this, the National Weather Service dropped the Winter Storm Warning for the immediate DC area and reduced our snow forecast to around an inch. Further east there's still a chance for more significant snow but the real show will be from Philadelphia northward along I-95 to Boston and beyond. Up in New England they will have the chance for more than a foot.
Here - some light snow I think. Short-term models haven't given up on the idea of some snow falling but it doesn't look like it will amount to much.
What a crazy ride it's been with this storm.
WINTER STORM WARNING
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2010
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December
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- A Miss After All
- Keep an Eye on This One
- GFS Won't Give Up
- 12Z Euro Still Out to Sea
- ...right up Until the 12Z GFS. I need an Excedrin.
- Models Agree: Out to Sea
- Models Flip Flopping Again
- DC, Philly, NYC Would Disappear Beneath the Snow
- Christmas Storm Update and Teleconnections
- Christmas Storm Still on Track
- Some Snow Showers Tuesday, All Eyes on Christmas E...
- Evening Models Trending Snowier for the Weekend
- This is What I Mean
- Snow Falling Now, 1-3 inches, Models All Over the ...
- Thursday Snow More Likely, Weekend Snow Less Likely
- Two Shots at Snow: Thursday and Late Weekend
- Weekend Storm Likely to be Rain (Primarily) Then V...
- Outlook for Winter 2010 and a Storm (probably rain...
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December
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Potential explanation for why La Nina is not having the same effect in the east this year?
ReplyDeletehttp://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/26/opinion/26cohen.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=global%20warming&st=cse