The GFS comes out west of its last track making the miss out to sea more of a "brush" and keeping the game alive. This is akin to watching your favorite team down 21 with 7 minutes left in the fourth quarter, turning off the TV because you figure it's over and then having them tie it up with seconds left in the game.
Will the GFS win (i.e. - will the other models also shift towards us?)...I'll see what the afternoon models show.
Here's the 12Z GFS run:
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