WINTER STORM WARNING

 

Friday, December 24, 2010

GFS Won't Give Up

I've been reduced to a spectator.  I can't remember a case where the models had so much flip-flopping and disagreement this close to an event.  There have been plenty of times when the models have all agreed and turned out to have been smoking the same hallucinogenic drug.  But this is insane.

Several afternoon models (including some of the near-term models like the RUC - usually disregarded except inside of 40 hours to the event) are leaning towards the GFS solution.

Which looks like this:


That's many things (crazy is one of them) but what it's not is "no snow".

The 0Z runs tonight (which don't come out until like 1:30 AM) are going to be crucial.  In any case, I still think this is a Sunday-Monday issue so it shouldn't create any serious disruptions on Christmas Day except for in the South.

Will try and check the models later tonight.  Merry Christmas everyone.

No comments:

Post a Comment