WINTER STORM WARNING

 

Thursday, December 16, 2010

This is What I Mean

Forecast for the weekend from the National Weather Service:

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 


According to them, there's not enough model agreement to start worrying people about snow.  I tend to agree.

But...

From the SAME National Weather Service, the precipitation forecast for Sunday:


Forget the models, even the humans aren't agreeing.

So we wait and watch.  The evening models are running now but they're hardly ever used operationally (i.e. in service of an official forecast).  Next big model runs late tonight - we'll see how they go.

Just a thought:  the above map, if the forecast verifies, would put us well into the 5-inch range for snowfall on Sunday.  Not the biblical snow of last year - but respectable all the same.

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