WINTER STORM WARNING

 

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

It's Gonna Be Close

So most all of the models shifted westward overnight with the storm track.  However, that doesn't even remotely mean they all agree on the storm track.

Most have the track still fairly far off the coast.  It makes this a complicated forecast because the cutoff line for significant and light snow (or what the NWS would call "warning-level" and "advisory-level" snow) will be very close to our area.

A slight shift in track eastward means less snow for us.  A little further westward places us "safely" in the warning-level snow.

I need to see the model runs from this morning.

For now, expect the precipitation to start tonight, probably as a period of rain or mixed rain and snow.  Eventually this will change over to all snow.

This will be a powerful storm once it's done strengthening over the Atlantic.  So whether it snows 5 inches or 2 inches, it will be windy tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night.

1 comment:

  1. Just checked and noticed that we are now under a "winter weather advisory." So what exactly does this mean for us?

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