We're mostly using the NAM now because it excels in the short range and we're about 24 hours away from the storm. Here's the NAM forecast for total liquid water equivalent precipitation on Saturday. On the basis of this map, 2 feet looks possible in the DC metro. I'm still looking at the model runs from this morning. More to come!
WINTER STORM WARNING
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February
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- Tuesday - Wednesday
- Winter Precipitation Processes - Part 1: Pressure
- Looks Like the Models Were Right...the First Time
- Downgraded to WWA - But Keep an Eye
- It's Gonna Be Close
- Later Models Holding to the Westward Shift
- It's Bigger...Possibly
- This Week: Rain, Some Snow
- Rain...
- Keep an Eye on Next Week
- Still North and West
- Latest Models Further North
- A Tough Little Storm
- More Snow...
- Don't Look Now
- Where's My Toast Graphic?
- Sitting and Spinning
- A For-Real Blizzard
- So We're in the Dry Slot...Again
- Sleet Takes Over
- Oh and...
- Moderate to Heavy Snow Continues
- Snow Heavier in Arlington
- Light Snow Has Started, Storm is Forming
- I'll Leave It Alone
- This is A Really Difficult Forecast - Maybe Less S...
- Quick Note
- And One More Graph to Illustrate This Winter
- A Record Winter
- Another Big Storm
- It's Actually the Precipitation Fields
- More Snow Coming
- The Game is Still On
- It's Just a Phase...but Maybe We Should Worry
- On to the Next!
- OBS: WDX and NAX
- Mother of God. Part II
- The Dry Slot
- Thundersnow!
- Radar at 12:14 AM
- Radar at 9:15 PM
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- Snowfall Rate: 1 inch per hour
- All Continues on Schedule and Track
- A Massive Storm
- One Last Thing to Consider
- One more GFS model run...
- Precise Scientific Measurement
- First Flakes!
- GFS Says: I'll See Your 24 Inches and Raise You t...
- Expected Timeline
- Slack-u-weather Radar
- GGEM Model Run Complete
- The More the Merrier
- A Thousand Words
- NAMtastic
- Remarkable.
- Mother of God.
- Lunchtime Update: What are the Variables?
- Oh, and...
- A Little Wrinkle
- And Now, a Deep Breath
- Snow Continues!
- First Flakes!
- 3:00 PM Update
- And stronger still...
- Snow on the Way
- PV Storm #2: February 5-7 [OUTLOOK]
- PV Storm #1: February 2-3 [Expected Class: 2]
- Forecasting 101 - The Super Ultra Magical Blog-len...
- A Little Background
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February
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I'm so excited! It's challenging to stay focused at work...
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