Tonight I believe I have seen some of the heaviest snowfall I've ever observed. Rates are 1-2.5 inches an hour and more very heavy bands are headed this way. In the radar below, you can see two things. The first is that as the low in the Appalachians transfers its energy to the coastal low off of North Carolina, it has brought a surge of warmer air with it. Radars tend to be poor at judging rain/snow lines, which is why it looks in the radar below that rain has edged into DC and points south when I can see outside that it has not.
But there is some mixing going on in central Virginia and further south of the DC metro.
As the low off the coast rapidly intensifies (mets refer to this effect as "bombing") more cold air will be drawn in and will change the precipitation that is mixing back over to snow, possibly as far south as Norfolk.
The other thing you can see is the dramatically heavy precipitation that's going on. Those dark blues are the bands I spoke of and they are where the snow is falling at tremendous rates. See that yellow line above Richmond? That's another locally heavy band of what is likely sleet. As it moves due north and hits the colder air, it will be yet another burst of heavy snow for our region.
11.5 inches here in Arlington. More to come...
WINTER STORM WARNING
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2010
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February
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- Tuesday - Wednesday
- Winter Precipitation Processes - Part 1: Pressure
- Looks Like the Models Were Right...the First Time
- Downgraded to WWA - But Keep an Eye
- It's Gonna Be Close
- Later Models Holding to the Westward Shift
- It's Bigger...Possibly
- This Week: Rain, Some Snow
- Rain...
- Keep an Eye on Next Week
- Still North and West
- Latest Models Further North
- A Tough Little Storm
- More Snow...
- Don't Look Now
- Where's My Toast Graphic?
- Sitting and Spinning
- A For-Real Blizzard
- So We're in the Dry Slot...Again
- Sleet Takes Over
- Oh and...
- Moderate to Heavy Snow Continues
- Snow Heavier in Arlington
- Light Snow Has Started, Storm is Forming
- I'll Leave It Alone
- This is A Really Difficult Forecast - Maybe Less S...
- Quick Note
- And One More Graph to Illustrate This Winter
- A Record Winter
- Another Big Storm
- It's Actually the Precipitation Fields
- More Snow Coming
- The Game is Still On
- It's Just a Phase...but Maybe We Should Worry
- On to the Next!
- OBS: WDX and NAX
- Mother of God. Part II
- The Dry Slot
- Thundersnow!
- Radar at 12:14 AM
- Radar at 9:15 PM
- OBS: NAX
- OBS: WDX
- Snowfall Rate: 1 inch per hour
- All Continues on Schedule and Track
- A Massive Storm
- One Last Thing to Consider
- One more GFS model run...
- Precise Scientific Measurement
- First Flakes!
- GFS Says: I'll See Your 24 Inches and Raise You t...
- Expected Timeline
- Slack-u-weather Radar
- GGEM Model Run Complete
- The More the Merrier
- A Thousand Words
- NAMtastic
- Remarkable.
- Mother of God.
- Lunchtime Update: What are the Variables?
- Oh, and...
- A Little Wrinkle
- And Now, a Deep Breath
- Snow Continues!
- First Flakes!
- 3:00 PM Update
- And stronger still...
- Snow on the Way
- PV Storm #2: February 5-7 [OUTLOOK]
- PV Storm #1: February 2-3 [Expected Class: 2]
- Forecasting 101 - The Super Ultra Magical Blog-len...
- A Little Background
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