Tracking another storm system as it moves across the country, slides through the Southeast and then just off the Carolina coast on Tuesday night - Wednesday morning.
This one definitely bears watching although current model forecasts are for it to pass just to our south.
Here is the 84-hour GFS which is the forecast for Wednesday morning:
You can see the storm off the North Carolina coast. It moves essentially NE from here in later frames.
The storm is tossing back around 0.10-0.25 of precipitation - which is light: 1-3 inches of snow or so.
Two reasons this storm bears watching.
First: it's strong. A 989 mb low is fairly intense.
Second: this season, almost every storm this season has trended north and west from its position in model runs this far out.
If it moves more to the north and the west, this could be a big deal. For now, some snow Tuesday night into Wednesday morning seems likely - but light amounts also seem likely.
Don't cancel any plans - but stay tuned...
WINTER STORM WARNING
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2010
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February
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- Tuesday - Wednesday
- Winter Precipitation Processes - Part 1: Pressure
- Looks Like the Models Were Right...the First Time
- Downgraded to WWA - But Keep an Eye
- It's Gonna Be Close
- Later Models Holding to the Westward Shift
- It's Bigger...Possibly
- This Week: Rain, Some Snow
- Rain...
- Keep an Eye on Next Week
- Still North and West
- Latest Models Further North
- A Tough Little Storm
- More Snow...
- Don't Look Now
- Where's My Toast Graphic?
- Sitting and Spinning
- A For-Real Blizzard
- So We're in the Dry Slot...Again
- Sleet Takes Over
- Oh and...
- Moderate to Heavy Snow Continues
- Snow Heavier in Arlington
- Light Snow Has Started, Storm is Forming
- I'll Leave It Alone
- This is A Really Difficult Forecast - Maybe Less S...
- Quick Note
- And One More Graph to Illustrate This Winter
- A Record Winter
- Another Big Storm
- It's Actually the Precipitation Fields
- More Snow Coming
- The Game is Still On
- It's Just a Phase...but Maybe We Should Worry
- On to the Next!
- OBS: WDX and NAX
- Mother of God. Part II
- The Dry Slot
- Thundersnow!
- Radar at 12:14 AM
- Radar at 9:15 PM
- OBS: NAX
- OBS: WDX
- Snowfall Rate: 1 inch per hour
- All Continues on Schedule and Track
- A Massive Storm
- One Last Thing to Consider
- One more GFS model run...
- Precise Scientific Measurement
- First Flakes!
- GFS Says: I'll See Your 24 Inches and Raise You t...
- Expected Timeline
- Slack-u-weather Radar
- GGEM Model Run Complete
- The More the Merrier
- A Thousand Words
- NAMtastic
- Remarkable.
- Mother of God.
- Lunchtime Update: What are the Variables?
- Oh, and...
- A Little Wrinkle
- And Now, a Deep Breath
- Snow Continues!
- First Flakes!
- 3:00 PM Update
- And stronger still...
- Snow on the Way
- PV Storm #2: February 5-7 [OUTLOOK]
- PV Storm #1: February 2-3 [Expected Class: 2]
- Forecasting 101 - The Super Ultra Magical Blog-len...
- A Little Background
- Welcome!
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February
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Is the world coming to an end with all these nasty storms and earthquakes???
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